Design and Implementation of an AI-Driven Academic Path Forecasting System using Sequential and Classification Models
TENCON 2025 - 2025 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), (2026), pp. 938-942
a College of Computer Studies and, Multimedia Arts FEU Institute of Technology, Manila, Philippines
Abstract: An AI-driven academic path forecasting system is proposed to support data-informed advising and early academic intervention in higher education. In the Philippine context, where delayed graduation, student dropouts and lack of personalized academic guidance persist, machine learning in education offers a scalable and intelligent solution. The system combines three educational data mining techniques: a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for course sequence prediction, a decision tree classifier for student progress classification as regular or irregular and a K-Means clustering algorithm for grouping students based on academic trajectories. These models are developed in TensorFlow and deployed on a web platform built with CodeIgniter, enabling functionalities such as academic path forecasting, curriculum tracking and real-time risk alerts. Evaluation shows that the LSTM model achieves strong precision and recall in predicting next-term courses, while the decision tree classifier accurately detects off-track students with interpretable decision rules. K-Means clustering reveals meaningful groupings aligned with academic outcomes, further supporting early identification of at-risk learners. Confusion matrix analysis confirms high model accuracy across tasks. By integrating AI into higher education through course prediction, student classification and cluster-based insights, the system offers a practical framework for enhancing student success through targeted academic support.