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Design and Implementation of an AI-Driven Academic Path Forecasting System using Sequential and Classification Models

TENCON 2025 - 2025 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), (2026), pp. 938-942

a College of Computer Studies and, Multimedia Arts FEU Institute of Technology, Manila, Philippines

Abstract: An AI-driven academic path forecasting system is proposed to support data-informed advising and early academic intervention in higher education. In the Philippine context, where delayed graduation, student dropouts and lack of personalized academic guidance persist, machine learning in education offers a scalable and intelligent solution. The system combines three educational data mining techniques: a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for course sequence prediction, a decision tree classifier for student progress classification as regular or irregular and a K-Means clustering algorithm for grouping students based on academic trajectories. These models are developed in TensorFlow and deployed on a web platform built with CodeIgniter, enabling functionalities such as academic path forecasting, curriculum tracking and real-time risk alerts. Evaluation shows that the LSTM model achieves strong precision and recall in predicting next-term courses, while the decision tree classifier accurately detects off-track students with interpretable decision rules. K-Means clustering reveals meaningful groupings aligned with academic outcomes, further supporting early identification of at-risk learners. Confusion matrix analysis confirms high model accuracy across tasks. By integrating AI into higher education through course prediction, student classification and cluster-based insights, the system offers a practical framework for enhancing student success through targeted academic support.

Recommended Citation

Ortega, J. H. J., Alix, A., & Lagman, A. (2026). Design and Implementation of an AI-Driven Academic Path Forecasting System using Sequential and Classification Models. TENCON 2025 - 2025 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), 938-942. https://doi.org/10.1109/TENCON66050.2025.11375487
J. H. J. Ortega, A. Alix, and A. Lagman, "Design and Implementation of an AI-Driven Academic Path Forecasting System using Sequential and Classification Models," TENCON 2025 - 2025 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), pp. 938-942, 2026. doi: 10.1109/TENCON66050.2025.11375487.
Ortega, John Heland Jasper, et al.. "Design and Implementation of an AI-Driven Academic Path Forecasting System using Sequential and Classification Models." TENCON 2025 - 2025 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), 2026, pp. 938-942. https://doi.org/10.1109/TENCON66050.2025.11375487.
Ortega, J. H. J., Alix, A., & Lagman, A.. 2026. "Design and Implementation of an AI-Driven Academic Path Forecasting System using Sequential and Classification Models." TENCON 2025 - 2025 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON): 938-942. https://doi.org/10.1109/TENCON66050.2025.11375487.

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