A Neural Network Approach for Public Trip Frequency Dynamics Across Pandemic Stages in a Component City in Luzon, Philippines
Laila Marie A. Lavandero
a
,
Dante L. Silva
b
,
Kevin Lawrence M. De Jesus
c
a School of Graduate Studies, Mapua University, Manila, Philippines
b School of Civil Environmental, and Geological Engineering, Mapua University, Manila, Philippines
c Department of Civil Engineering, FEU Institute of Technology, Manila, Philippines
2025 10th International Conference on Big Data Analytics (ICBDA), (2025), pp. 1-9
Abstract: This study aimed to develop models for predicting trip frequency in San Jose City, Province of Nueva Ecija, Philippines incorporating socio-demographic factors (SDF) and attitudinal factors (AF) through the use of artificial neural network (ANN). Socio-demographic factors in the model include age, sex, civil status (CS), number of children (NOC), barangay, number of household members (NHM), educational attainment (EA), employment status (ES), household income (HI), number of driver license holder (DLH), number of personal vehicles owned (PVO), and number of vehicles owned by the household (VOH) while the attitudinal factors in the model include car dependency (CD), convenience, speed, privacy and safety (PS), health and environment (HE), cost, and comfort. The collected data were processed to develop ANN model in different pandemic stages with 19-19-1 (input-hidden-output) network structure used for these models. The sensitivity analysis (SA) results indicate that in the pre-pandemic period, employment status is the most influential parameter (MIP) to the trip frequency in the study area, while the educational attainment is the MIP during the pandemic period and in the post-pandemic period. The findings of the study signify the effectiveness of ANN in forecasting trip frequency as evident to the low mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values obtained for the three models. The results can be used by policymakers in making informed strategies in further improving the travel experience of the population in the study area.